Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:11:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
E7 0xe742…e16c crypto 1488 markets active 1h ago coverage 43d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 42d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$485 (-2%) realized −$486 · open +$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -24% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate71%1350W / 557L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day50.9pace
Fees−$5est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$101now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 43d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$109
sports 5% −$42
weather 1% +$5
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-31.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 522 -84.2% -85.7% 13% 3% -88.4%
≤30d 657 -67.6% -70.7% 26% 9% -74.2%
≤90d 1907 -24.1% -31.4% 71% 4% -20.2%
all 1907 -24.1% -31.4% 71% 4% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.4% 4% -20.2%
10% ← realistic here -37.9% 2% -27.8%
15% -43.9% 1% -34.8%
20% -49.4% 0% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -24% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -48% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$7 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.11 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$101
Realized−$486
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1350 / 557
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1907 / 1488
History coverage43d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day50.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 8 History 1907 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Samobor: Mili Poljicak vs Bozo Barun Mili Poljicak 99¢ 100¢ $36 $36 +$0 (+1%)
ITF San Gregorio: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Ruien Zhang Ruien Zhang 99¢ 99¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
ITF Milano: Gian Marco Ortenzi vs Georgii Kravchenko Georgii Kravchenko 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Poznan: Norbert Gombos vs Dalibor Svrcina Dalibor Svrcina 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
ITF Gyula: Tomas Lanik vs Pietro Fellin Pietro Fellin 96¢ 99¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
ITF San Gregorio: Masha Lazarenko vs Giulia Maria Sofia Bonaccorso Masha Lazarenko 99¢ 99¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 93¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
ITF Klosters: Nicolas Parizzia vs Sandro Kopp Sandro Kopp 97¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 492 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$3 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $80 −$58 -72%
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF San Gregorio: Masha Lazarenko vs Giulia Maria Sofia Bonaccorso BUY Masha Lazarenko 99¢ $10 31m
Poznan: Norbert Gombos vs Dalibor Svrcina BUY Dalibor Svrcina 99¢ $5 36m
Poznan: Norbert Gombos vs Dalibor Svrcina BUY Dalibor Svrcina 99¢ $5 37m
ITF Milano: Gian Marco Ortenzi vs Georgii Kravchenko BUY Georgii Kravchenko 99¢ $5 55m
ITF Milano: Gian Marco Ortenzi vs Georgii Kravchenko BUY Georgii Kravchenko 99¢ $5 55m
ITF Klosters: Nicolas Parizzia vs Sandro Kopp BUY Sandro Kopp 97¢ $5 1h
ITF Samobor: Mili Poljicak vs Bozo Barun BUY Mili Poljicak 100¢ $6 1h
ITF Samobor: Mili Poljicak vs Bozo Barun BUY Mili Poljicak 98¢ $10 1h
ITF Samobor: Mili Poljicak vs Bozo Barun BUY Mili Poljicak 99¢ $10 1h
ITF Samobor: Mili Poljicak vs Bozo Barun BUY Mili Poljicak 99¢ $10 1h
Poznan: Martin Krumich vs Joao Lucas Da Silva BUY Joao Lucas Da Silva 96¢ $10 1h
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakova BUY Jessica Pegula 98¢ $10 1h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov BUY Alex de Minaur 99¢ $10 1h
Poznan: Facundo Acosta vs Hynek Barton BUY Facundo Acosta 97¢ $6 2h
ITF Haskovo: Berfu Cengiz vs Darya Velikova BUY Berfu Cengiz 100¢ $14 3h
ITF San Gregorio: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Ruien Zhang BUY Ruien Zhang 99¢ $10 3h
ITF San Gregorio: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Ruien Zhang BUY Ruien Zhang 99¢ $5 3h
ITF Bourg-En-Bresse: Nicolas Ifi vs Melios Efstathiou BUY Melios Efstathiou 99¢ $10 3h
ITF Saarlouis: Tom Sickenberger vs Marc Majdandzic BUY Marc Majdandzic 100¢ $10 3h
ITF Monastir: Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin vs Danil Panarin BUY Danil Panarin 100¢ $10 3h
ITF Monastir: Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin vs Danil Panarin BUY Danil Panarin 99¢ $10 3h
ITF Monastir: Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin vs Danil Panarin BUY Danil Panarin 98¢ $5 3h
ITF Gyula: Tomas Lanik vs Pietro Fellin BUY Pietro Fellin 95¢ $5 3h
ITF Gyula: Tomas Lanik vs Pietro Fellin BUY Pietro Fellin 96¢ $5 3h
ITF Klosters: Justin Schlageter vs Patrick Zahraj BUY Patrick Zahraj 97¢ $5 3h
Figueira Da Foz: Barbora Palicova vs Jil Teichmann BUY Jil Teichmann 92¢ $5 4h
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala BUY Alexandra Eala 93¢ $5 4h
ITF Haskovo: Bianca Barbulescu vs Denislava Glushkova BUY Denislava Glushkova 99¢ $5 4h
ITF Haskovo: Bianca Barbulescu vs Denislava Glushkova BUY Denislava Glushkova 99¢ $5 4h
ITF Haskovo: Bianca Barbulescu vs Denislava Glushkova BUY Denislava Glushkova 98¢ $0 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $100.81 · official $100.79 (match) · 3500 history records