Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:12:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe75d…d228
crypto · 964 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$281 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$276 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$276
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses597 / 366
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)963 / 964
History coverage61d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day17.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 963 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$60
14 days−$47
30 days−$216
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +55%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$277
sports 1% −$4
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 27h
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? SELL No 96¢ $1 27h
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? SELL No 87¢ $1 27h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 90¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 -11.7% -20.1% 46% 43% -21.4%
≤30d 457 -11.7% -20.1% 49% 47% -18.3%
≤90d 963 -6.7% -15.6% 62% 59% -15.1%
all 963 -6.7% -15.6% 62% 59% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.6% 59% -15.1%
10% -23.7% 45% -23.2%
15% -31.0% 27% -30.6%
20% -37.8% 19% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.06 · official $6.27 · 2107 history records