Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:30:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe766…7843 sports 285 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (100 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,026 (+11%) realized +$1,025 · open +$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate49%140W / 144L
Drawdown6%max
Avg bet$34per market
Trades / day99.8pace
Fees−$155est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$32now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$119
14 days+$366
30 days+$896
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 67% +$778
other 32% +$124
crypto 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (100 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 -9.9% -18.5% 43% 25% -7.0%
≤30d 284 +5.0% -5.0% 49% 31% -0.0%
≤90d 284 +5.0% -5.0% 49% 31% -0.0%
all 284 +5.0% -5.0% 49% 31% -0.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover99.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.0% 31% -0.0%
10% ← realistic here -14.1% 17% -9.6%
15% -22.4% 12% -18.3%
20% -30.0% 9% -26.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +10% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
37% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +17% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$4 · ×2.72 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.66 per $1 lost it wins $2.66
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$32
Realized+$1,025
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses140 / 144
Est. fees paid−$155
Open positions1
Markets (closed)284 / 285
History coverage25d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day99.8
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 284 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 78¢ $32 $32 +$1 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 51 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $44 −$3 -6%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $17 +$3 +17%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $138 $0 +0%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $24 $0 -1%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $32 −$1 -2%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $33 +$33 +100%
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $34 +$17 +50%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $143 +$7 +5%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 Jun 16 $4 +$3 +82%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $21 +$2 +7%
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $36 −$26 -73%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $13 $0 +2%
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $18 $0 -3%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 Jun 16 $120 +$5 +4%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $78 −$1 -1%
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $79 −$2 -3%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playof Jun 16 $25 −$2 -8%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 16 $14 −$1 -9%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $55 +$8 +14%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 Jun 16 $11 $0 -2%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $66 +$9 +14%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $11 −$1 -7%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $11 −$1 -7%
Will Londrina EC win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $12 −$3 -24%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $131 +$12 +9%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $11 $0 -4%
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 0 Uruguay? Jun 15 $67 −$6 -9%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $40 −$4 -10%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $17 $0 -1%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $90 +$6 +7%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $5 −$1 -15%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $13 −$3 -20%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $15 +$2 +11%
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $35 +$5 +14%
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 15 $78 +$3 +4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $20 +$9 +45%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $22 −$13 -56%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clut Jun 15 $10 −$5 -47%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 15 $15 −$2 -11%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $5 −$3 -51%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $610 +$4 +1%
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Jun 15 $98 +$12 +12%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $77 +$1 +1%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $151 −$4 -2%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $63 +$6 +10%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 79¢ $2 3m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 79¢ $20 3m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 78¢ $22 10m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 78¢ $22 11m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 77¢ $77 15m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 76¢ $77 16m
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 40¢ $0 17m
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 40¢ $34 17m
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 38¢ $11 18m
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 38¢ $11 18m
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 40¢ $10 18m
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 40¢ $1 19m
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 34¢ $3 20m
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 34¢ $0 20m
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 34¢ $4 20m
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 51¢ $11 21m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 71¢ $77 21m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 73¢ $77 21m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 74¢ $75 22m
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 76¢ $78 22m
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 99¢ $11 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 97¢ $6 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 98¢ $11 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 99¢ $11 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 98¢ $11 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 98¢ $11 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 96¢ $33 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 94¢ $11 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 95¢ $11 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.32 · official $32.32 (match) · 2569 history records