Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe76b…9b3e
sports · 27 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$47 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open −$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$24
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses13 / 13
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)26 / 27
History coverage4d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day14.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 1 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$24
14 days−$24
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 60¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Thiago Cigarran 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 44¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Dali Blanch 61¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Andrea Guerrieri $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Kimmer Coppejans 68¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 82¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Atlanta Dream $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Arthur Gea 23¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 −$12 -80%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $10 +$3 +34%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $20 +$13 +62%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $13 −$13 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $9 −$7 -76%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $1 +$1 +67%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $2 +$1 +64%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $2 −$1 -71%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $11 −$9 -81%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $17 +$2 +10%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 65% −$18
other 32% −$30
crypto 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 60¢ $23 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 11¢ $3 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $15 2h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 14¢ $1 3h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri $3 3h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $7 4h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $5 4h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi SELL Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 99¢ $14 4h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 73¢ $10 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 99¢ $0 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 99¢ $33 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 60¢ $20 5h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 68¢ $13 6h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 44¢ $5 6h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 45¢ $1 7h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 57¢ $1 7h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 44¢ $1 8h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 23¢ $1 8h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla SELL Oriol Roca Batalla 100¢ $2 9h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 59¢ $1 10h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 82¢ $1 10h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 48¢ $1 10h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Marcos Giron 56¢ $1 10h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino SELL Adrian Mannarino 100¢ $3 10h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 60¢ $1 17h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 60¢ $2 17h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY Dali Blanch 61¢ $1 17h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire SELL PortlandFire $1 18h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 17¢ $2 19h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? SELL Yes 22¢ $1 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-36.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -29.8% -36.5% 50% 42% -24.5%
≤30d 26 -29.8% -36.5% 50% 42% -24.5%
≤90d 26 -29.8% -36.5% 50% 42% -24.5%
all 26 -29.8% -36.5% 50% 42% -24.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.5% 42% -24.5%
10% -42.6% 38% -31.8%
15% -48.1% 23% -38.4%
20% -53.2% 12% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.02 (match) · 60 history records