Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T18:23:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
E7 0xe77a…3e8d crypto 1741 markets active 1h ago coverage 40d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 39d only
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$221 (+1%) realized +$221 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate51%895W / 859L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day70.3pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$913
7 days−$625
14 days−$624
30 days−$864
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$279
other 2% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 392 -28.5% -35.3% 29% 27% -22.4%
≤30d 1270 -3.0% -12.3% 48% 46% -15.3%
≤90d 1754 -3.0% -12.2% 51% 50% -15.0%
all 1754 -3.0% -12.2% 51% 50% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover70.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 50% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 49% -23.2%
15% -28.3% 46% -30.6%
20% -35.3% 40% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$8 · ×0.83 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$221
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses895 / 859
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1754 / 1741
History coverage40d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day70.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1754 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 23 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 23 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 23 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 23 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $16 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records