trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 71% | 50% | -13.3% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 71% | 50% | -13.3% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 71% | 50% | -13.3% |
| all | 14 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 71% | 50% | -13.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.3% | 50% | -13.3% |
| 10% | -9.9% | 50% | -21.6% |
| 15% | -18.6% | 50% | -29.2% |
| 20% | -26.5% | 36% | -36.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | Up | 85¢ | 76¢ | $20 | $18 | −$2 (-10%) |
| Will "absi" be the most watched Kick streamer in June? | Yes | 67¢ | 76¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+13%) |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 92¢ | 95¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 96¢ | 98¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 85¢ | 85¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-26%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | Yes | 44¢ | 28¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-35%) |
| Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-98%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 18? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$9 | +84% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 18? | Jun 18 | $16 | −$8 | -50% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3AM ET | Jun 18 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Jun 18 | $5 | +$2 | +36% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$4 | +36% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June | Jun 18 | $10 | +$7 | +72% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$7 | +137% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$4 | +73% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 17? | Jun 17 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$8 | +83% |
| SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day | Jun 16 | $5 | $0 | +0% |