Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe77c…f2be
crypto · 72 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$42 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$195 · open −$237
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$478
Realized+$195
Unrealized−$237
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses17 / 44
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions11
Markets (closed)61 / 72
History coverage18d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day7.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 11 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$60
14 days+$151
30 days+$195
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties? Yes 65¢ 53¢ $300 $245 −$55 (-18%)
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $100 $104 +$4 (+4%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No 13¢ 10¢ $80 $66 −$14 (-17%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 10¢ 3¢ $86 $26 −$60 (-69%)
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? Yes 17¢ 4¢ $55 $14 −$41 (-75%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 8-14? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $40 $10 −$30 (-76%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $9 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? No 3¢ 1¢ $12 $4 −$8 (-67%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? Yes 7¢ 1¢ $30 $3 −$27 (-89%)
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? No 1¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-58%)
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-39%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? Jun 11 $42 −$42 -100%
Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 11 $72 −$19 -26%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 11 $203 +$45 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $17 −$17 -100%
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? Jun 09 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$26 -100%
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026? Jun 09 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 08 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 08 $29 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 08 $21 +$29 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 08 $41 +$13 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 08 $21 +$28 +134%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 08 $349 −$54 -16%
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $300 +$94 +31%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $20 +$98 +489%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $40 +$20 +51%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 6? Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 6? Jun 07 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down on June 6? Jun 07 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $29 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? Jun 05 $11 +$80 +756%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4? Jun 05 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? Jun 05 $158 +$247 +156%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $105 +$130 +124%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $32 −$5 -17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $21 +$75 +353%
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los An Jun 04 $507 −$322 -63%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 04 $185 −$185 -100%
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angele Jun 03 $606 +$193 +32%
Will Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squ Jun 02 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Phil Foden be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Harry Maguire be included in England's official 2026 World Cup sq Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Dean Huijsen be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Cole Palmer be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squa Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? Jun 01 $11 −$11 -100%
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? Jun 01 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 01 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Achraf Hakimi record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champio Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 25% −$188
sports 21% −$148
other 18% +$24
crypto 18% +$351
world 12% −$2
tech 6% −$74
economics 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 14¢ $51 29h
Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cu SELL Yes 13¢ $53 29h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? SELL Yes 56¢ $248 29h
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 14¢ $21 38h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 5¢ $5 38h
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties? BUY Yes 65¢ $303 2d
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 14¢ $31 2d
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? BUY No 2¢ $11 2d
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? BUY Yes 7¢ $31 2d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 7¢ $10 2d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 8¢ $10 2d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 7¢ $11 3d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 14¢ $21 3d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 14¢ $31 3d
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY No 7¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $21 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $24 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $20 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $21 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $34 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $20 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-26.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -33.9% -40.2% 24% 24% -13.3%
≤30d 61 -19.0% -26.7% 28% 28% -5.0%
≤90d 61 -19.0% -26.7% 28% 28% -5.0%
all 61 -19.0% -26.7% 28% 28% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.7% 28% -5.0%
10% -33.7% 26% -14.1%
15% -40.1% 20% -22.4%
20% -46.0% 18% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $478.11 · official $473.53 (match) · 190 history records