Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:15:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe788…92cc crypto 81 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1918 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,142 (-8%) realized −$1,140 · open −$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate62%56W / 35L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$179per market
Trades / day1917.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$522
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1918 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-25.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -17.6% -25.5% 62% 45% -13.2%
≤30d 91 -17.6% -25.5% 62% 45% -13.2%
≤90d 91 -17.6% -25.5% 62% 45% -13.2%
all 91 -17.6% -25.5% 62% 45% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1917.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.5% 45% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -32.6% 21% -21.5%
15% -39.1% 3% -29.1%
20% -45.1% 3% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -27% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
38.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$37 vs −$76 · ×0.48 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,140
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses56 / 35
Open positions1
Markets (closed)91 / 81
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$179
Trades / day1917.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 91 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 9¢ 4¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-56%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 15 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $201 +$45 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $199 +$47 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $200 +$50 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $69 +$12 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $200 +$22 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $199 +$47 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $200 +$38 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $200 +$27 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$48 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $199 +$30 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $199 +$41 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $199 +$44 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$22 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $199 +$47 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $199 +$47 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$66 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $202 −$202 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$50 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $94 +$22 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$35 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $199 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $199 +$44 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $200 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $200 +$40 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $199 +$41 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $199 +$47 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $202 +$44 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $201 +$39 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $199 +$25 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $200 +$38 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $202 −$199 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $197 +$43 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $197 +$35 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $202 +$44 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $199 +$47 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $118 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $16 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $13 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $21 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $7 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $16 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $83 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $200 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $32 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $109 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $24 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $17 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $23 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $132 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $199 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.31 · official $1.31 (match) · 3500 history records