trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +27.1% | +15.0% | 89% | 67% | +18.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +16.0% | +5.0% | 80% | 60% | -63.1% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +9.0% | -1.3% | 76% | 47% | -29.7% |
| all | 17 | +9.0% | -1.3% | 76% | 47% | -29.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -1.3% | 47% | -29.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -10.8% | 35% | -36.4% |
| 15% | -19.4% | 18% | -42.5% |
| 20% | -27.3% | 6% | -48.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $1,500 | $2,011 | +$511 (+34%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $1,000 | $1,220 | +$220 (+22%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 82¢ | 82¢ | $1,000 | $1,006 | +$6 (+1%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 65¢ | 66¢ | $800 | $806 | +$6 (+1%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 53¢ | 53¢ | $700 | $706 | +$6 (+1%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $700 | $622 | −$78 (-11%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 56¢ | 65¢ | $500 | $584 | +$84 (+17%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $300 | $298 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $200 | $167 | −$33 (-17%) |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $100 | $105 | +$5 (+5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $1,000 | +$9 | +1% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $201 | +$26 | +13% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $101 | +$20 | +20% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $604 | +$142 | +24% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $703 | +$173 | +25% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $712 | +$1,014 | +142% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $404 | +$184 | +46% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $618 | −$221 | -36% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 10 | $16,191 | −$13,576 | -84% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of t | May 18 | $1,788 | +$506 | +28% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first roun | May 18 | $10,572 | +$4,593 | +43% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 27 | $1,573 | +$8 | +0% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian president | Apr 20 | $1,864 | −$1,493 | -80% |
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? | Apr 15 | $1,922 | −$102 | -5% |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 | Apr 15 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round | Apr 15 | $542 | +$31 | +6% |