trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 29 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -30.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $159 | $159 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $159 | $158 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $2 | $1 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $159 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | -21% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | -18% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $208 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $178 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $406 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | -21% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 02 | $61 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 02 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 27 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | Jan 27 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 20 | $200 | $0 | -0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 20 | $299 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 19 | $74 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 19 | $150 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 19 | $150 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 19 | $150 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 16 | $91 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 16 | $383 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 15 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 15 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 15 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 15 | $300 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana dip to $40 in January? | Jan 14 | $164 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in January? | Jan 14 | $335 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 13 | $444 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | Jan 12 | $499 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k? | Jan 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 09 | $500 | −$1 | -0% |