Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T00:48:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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E7 0xe7a2…ae70 sports 149 markets active 1h ago coverage 51d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 51d only
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$35,880 (+3%) realized +$38,343 · open −$2,463
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate58%89W / 65L
Whale WR62%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7,721per market
Trades / day65.0pace
Fees−$15,258est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$7,143now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47,110
7 days+$17,128
14 days+$44,730
30 days+$106,214
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$57,233
other 0% +$197
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -11.9% -20.3% 47% 47% -1.7%
≤30d 88 +18.9% +7.6% 60% 60% +7.8%
≤90d 154 +11.6% +0.9% 58% 56% -5.3%
all 154 +11.6% +0.9% 58% 56% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.9% 56% -5.3%
10% -8.7% 53% -14.4%
15% ← realistic here -17.5% 47% -22.7%
20% -25.6% 43% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +12% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 62% (≥$8,164) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +4% → late +19% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
21.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5,101 vs −$6,323 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.1 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

51d coverage
Net worth$7,143
Realized+$38,343
Unrealized−$2,463
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses89 / 65
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$15,258
Open positions3
Markets (closed)154 / 149
History coverage51d ⚠
Avg bet$7,721
Trades / day65.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 154 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Over 52¢ 48¢ $5,000 $4,567 −$433 (-9%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 Over 50¢ 80¢ $1,529 $2,431 +$902 (+59%)
Spread: France (-5.5) France 11¢ 0¢ $3,077 $144 −$2,932 (-95%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 64 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Jun 23 $3,698 −$3,698 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 23 $894 −$894 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Pre Jun 23 $2,788 −$2,588 -93%
Celtics vs. 76ers Jun 23 $0 $0 -105%
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Jun 23 $1,913 −$1,913 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 23 $250 −$250 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres Jun 23 $3,542 −$3,542 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, P Jun 23 $4,107 −$4,080 -99%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians v Jun 22 $695 −$674 -97%
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5 Jun 22 $30,210 +$21,324 +71%
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score Jun 22 $10,950 −$10,950 -100%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 22 $2,467 +$1,792 +73%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Jun 22 $19,350 +$20,650 +107%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5 Jun 22 $22,620 +$16,380 +72%
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 21 $8,800 +$11,200 +127%
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers Jun 21 $3,193 +$2,153 +67%
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Jun 21 $5,040 +$2,200 +44%
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Jun 20 $7,229 −$7,200 -100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 20 $800 +$155 +19%
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 Jun 20 $1,521 −$1,521 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5 Jun 20 $3,999 +$4,039 +101%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Jun 20 $1,271 +$1,449 +114%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 19 $15,162 −$15,000 -99%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Jun 19 $7,005 +$8,308 +119%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Phi Jun 18 $3,499 −$3,440 -98%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score Jun 18 $20,185 −$20,000 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5 Jun 17 $1,867 +$3,086 +165%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5) Jun 17 $2,604 +$1,697 +65%
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $7,424 −$7,314 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $6,241 +$5,759 +92%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Phi Jun 15 $2,228 +$2,342 +105%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 15 $4,011 +$15,989 +399%
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 14 $4,200 −$4,200 -100%
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai Jun 14 $1,701 −$1,700 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $48 +$37 +76%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $790 +$900 +114%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $33 +$18 +55%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $7,762 +$7,238 +93%
1st 5 Innings Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 11 $2,906 +$1,096 +38%
1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 11 $2,893 +$1,795 +62%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) Jun 11 $3,223 +$987 +31%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3,069 +$3,100 +101%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $1,382 +$1,189 +86%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $7,661 +$7,142 +93%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $5,229 +$3,326 +64%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 07 $11,808 +$11,926 +101%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 Jun 06 $12,706 +$15,072 +119%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 Jun 05 $11,965 −$11,805 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $11,482 +$3,502 +30%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 04 $76 −$75 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $732 43m
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $4 43m
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $16 43m
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $162 44m
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $108 44m
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $542 44m
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $3 44m
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $104 44m
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $1,261 44m
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $2,066 45m
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians v SELL Yes 47¢ $3 1h
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 BUY Under 51¢ $204 1h
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians v SELL Yes 47¢ $3 1h
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians v SELL Yes 47¢ $3 1h
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 SELL Over 49¢ $3 1h
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 SELL Over 49¢ $50 1h
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 SELL Over 49¢ $10 1h
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 SELL Over 49¢ $3 1h
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 SELL Over 49¢ $7 1h
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1,831 1h
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians v BUY Yes 43¢ $695 1h
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $15,000 2h
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $13,225 2h
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 2h
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $19 2h
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $570 2h
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $3 2h
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 2h
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $480 2h
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $30 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,142.84 · official $7,129.17 (match) · 3500 history records