Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T08:46:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe7ab…3ca9 crypto 184 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (234 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$259 (-3%) realized −$259 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate72%132W / 52L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$44per market
Trades / day233.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$412
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (234 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 -5.1% -14.1% 72% 60% -14.2%
≤30d 184 -5.1% -14.1% 72% 60% -14.2%
≤90d 184 -5.1% -14.1% 72% 60% -14.2%
all 184 -5.1% -14.1% 72% 60% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover233.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 60% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 38% -22.4%
15% -29.8% 16% -29.9%
20% -36.7% 9% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$34 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$259
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses132 / 52
Open positions0
Markets (closed)184 / 184
History coverage2d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day233.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 184 Trades
no open positions (25 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$3 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 28 $366 −$366 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 28 $116 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 28 $133 +$27 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 28 $36 −$8 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 28 $67 +$23 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 28 $26 −$18 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 28 $21 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 28 $88 +$24 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 28 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 28 $56 −$12 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 28 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 28 $41 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$7 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 28 $51 +$18 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 28 $36 −$20 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 28 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$6 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 28 $46 +$17 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 28 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 28 $16 −$13 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$4 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 28 $31 +$8 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 28 $46 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 28 $265 −$106 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$15 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 28 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 28 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 28 $3 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 28 $15 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 28 $15 +$10 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 28 $15 +$5 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 28 $7 −$2 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 28 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 28 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 28 $46 −$46 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 28 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$4 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 27 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 27 $36 −$2 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 27 $142 +$10 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 27 $26 +$9 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $97 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $74 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 699 history records