trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 29% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 29% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 29% | 0% | -8.8% |
| all | 29 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 45% | 7% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.0% | 7% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 3% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 14 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $57 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 13 | $76 | +$2 | +3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 11 | $38 | +$2 | +6% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Jun 09 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 08 | $48 | +$1 | +1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 07 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $65 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 04 | $39 | +$2 | +4% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%? | May 22 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec | May 12 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 9–16? | May 11 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 10 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 10 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | May 09 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 09 | $7 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup? | May 08 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 07 | $16 | −$2 | -14% |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? | Mar 31 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 31 | $14 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28? | Mar 27 | $13 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy? | Mar 20 | $10 | +$3 | +32% |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | Feb 23 | $10 | $0 | +1% |