Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T09:46:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe7bf…889b crypto 1097 markets active 1h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d only
✗ bot/MM pace (105 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$364 (-5%) realized −$363 · open −$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate69%758W / 333L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day105.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$16now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$126
14 days−$91
30 days−$330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$317
other 8% +$3
sports 1% −$9
weather 0% −$2
culture 0% −$2
finance 0% +$1
world 0% −$4
politics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (105 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 397 -5.2% -14.2% 81% 47% -12.8%
≤30d 1091 -8.4% -17.1% 69% 32% -13.3%
≤90d 1091 -8.4% -17.1% 69% 32% -13.3%
all 1091 -8.4% -17.1% 69% 32% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover105.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.1% 32% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 16% -21.6%
15% -32.3% 8% -29.1%
20% -38.9% 5% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
51% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.31 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$16
Realized−$363
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses758 / 333
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1091 / 1097
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day105.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 5 History 1091 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June? Yes 21¢ 28¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+36%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? Yes 35¢ 34¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? No 72¢ 98¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+36%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes 33¢ 19¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-42%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? No 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 53 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +16%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 19 $3 +$2 +44%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 19 $3 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 19 $18 −$18 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 19 $18 +$2 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19? Jun 19 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 19 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $19 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 19 $18 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 19 $19 +$1 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 19 $16 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 19 $17 −$17 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 3h
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries BUY Minnesota Lynx 99¢ $5 5h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.99 · official $15.87 (match) · 3500 history records