Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:49:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7c1…9a11
other · 84 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$810 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$804 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$804
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses25 / 58
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions1
Markets (closed)83 / 84
History coverage231d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 1 History 83 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days−$9
30 days−$193
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 8¢ 4¢ $10 $5 −$6 (-55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 37¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+170%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians Punjab Kings 45¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals Rajasthan Royals 47¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 30 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET May 30 $31 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET May 30 $7 −$7 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $5 −$1 -30%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 26 $30 −$28 -92%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals May 24 $42 −$4 -8%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings May 23 $11 −$3 -24%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal May 22 $38 −$13 -34%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings May 21 $20 −$1 -4%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians May 20 $52 −$29 -56%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants May 19 $119 −$6 -5%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 18 $79 +$6 +8%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals May 17 $62 −$31 -51%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans May 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings May 15 $90 −$22 -24%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 14 $96 −$47 -49%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight R May 13 $67 −$26 -39%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 12 $145 −$6 -4%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals May 12 $52 +$2 +4%
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? May 10 $2 +$1 +26%
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch? May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? May 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? May 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Axiom launch a token in 2025? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? May 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025? May 10 $3 −$3 -100%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? May 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025? May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bungee win 2025 Uniswap Cup? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? May 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? May 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
US recession in 2025? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? May 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Tesla acquire xAI in 2025? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Phantom launch a token in 2025? May 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch? May 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$733
crypto 4% −$16
other 4% −$40
economics 2% −$10
tech 1% +$6
politics 1% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $6 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +665.7% +592.8% 67% 33% -5.1%
≤30d 19 +65.3% +49.5% 21% 11% -37.5%
≤90d 61 -30.6% -37.2% 13% 7% -50.0%
all 83 -11.7% -20.1% 30% 23% -47.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.1% 23% -47.5%
10% -27.8% 16% -52.5%
15% -34.7% 11% -57.1%
20% -41.1% 7% -61.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.79 · official $4.69 (match) · 359 history records