Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:29:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
E7 0xe7c8…9814 crypto 1007 markets active 0h ago coverage 53d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 53d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$3,955 (-8%) realized −$3,901 · open −$54
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate78%784W / 222L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day51.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$206now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,829
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 359 -4.2% -13.3% 78% 36% -10.4%
≤30d 740 -4.7% -13.8% 81% 33% -12.2%
≤90d 1006 -6.6% -15.5% 78% 37% -12.7%
all 1006 -6.6% -15.5% 78% 37% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 37% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 19% -21.1%
15% -31.0% 9% -28.7%
20% -37.7% 4% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
51% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$32 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

53d coverage
Net worth$206
Realized−$3,901
Unrealized−$54
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses784 / 222
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1006 / 1007
History coverage53d ⚠
Avg bet$46
Trades / day51.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1006 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 22¢ 17¢ $260 $206 −$54 (-21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 140 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $95 −$91 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $115 +$67 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $80 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $120 +$3 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $150 −$143 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $125 −$40 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $115 −$4 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $114 +$30 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $74 −$70 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $155 +$82 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $89 −$86 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $115 +$6 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $74 −$59 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $83 −$63 -77%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $32 −$30 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $115 +$39 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $94 +$83 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $83 −$80 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$25 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $72 +$51 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $70 +$65 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $114 −$110 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $63 −$60 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $72 −$70 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $47 −$41 -88%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $32 −$25 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $52 +$40 +77%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $52 −$50 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $52 +$52 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $81 −$80 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $70 +$4 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $80 +$3 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$5 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $41 +$26 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $41 +$11 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $81 +$15 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $83 +$63 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $51 −$50 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $61 −$60 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $60 −$60 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$10 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $83 +$44 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $61 +$8 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $41 −$40 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $53 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $52 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $104 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $62 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $3 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $32 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $32 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $32 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $68 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $114 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $31 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $21 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $21 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $42 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $40 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $80 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $35 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $42 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $73 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $21 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $21 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $108 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $62 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $18 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $21 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $21 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $205.52 · official $380.81 · 3500 history records