Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:49:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
E7 0xe7cc…188a crypto 401 markets active 0h ago coverage 14d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (222 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$665 (-5%) realized −$353 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate58%232W / 169L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$31per market
Trades / day221.7pace
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$135
7 days−$235
14 days−$353
30 days−$353
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$319
other 2% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (222 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 287 -13.9% -22.1% 67% 51% -15.8%
≤30d 401 -10.0% -18.6% 58% 37% -12.1%
≤90d 401 -10.0% -18.6% 58% 37% -12.1%
all 401 -10.0% -18.6% 58% 37% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover221.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 37% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 24% -20.5%
15% -33.5% 15% -28.2%
20% -40.0% 7% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
34% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -27% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$353
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses232 / 169
Open positions0
Markets (closed)401 / 401
History coverage14d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day221.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 401 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $14 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $32 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $32 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records