Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:13:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe7d8…dccb crypto 1662 markets active 5d ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d only
✗ bot/MM pace (192 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$467 (-1%) realized −$467 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1639W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day191.8pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$52now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$6
14 days−$438
30 days−$434
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$443
other 5% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (192 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 411 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 1661 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -10.6%
≤90d 1661 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -10.6%
all 1661 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover191.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -19.2%
15% -26.3% 0% -27.0%
20% -33.5% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$37 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.47 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$52
Realized−$467
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1639 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1661 / 1662
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$22
Trades / day191.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1661 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.71 · official $51.36 (match) · 3500 history records