Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:51:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7da…33e5
sports · 68 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Net worth$1
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses15 / 52
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)67 / 68
History coverage42d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 1 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$42
14 days−$42
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 22¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 $0 -14%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -8%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $16 −$5 -30%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $7 −$4 -51%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger Chin Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-01? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Celtics (-8.5) Jun 12 $7 −$3 -41%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$2 -39%
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -80%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $9 −$4 -45%
Spread: Celtics (-7.5) Jun 12 $11 −$9 -81%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -14%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 08 $1 +$1 +54%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 04 $3 $0 -6%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 04 $4 $0 -6%
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in priso May 04 $2 $0 -6%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 04 $3 $0 -3%
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? May 04 $3 $0 -13%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 03 $4 $0 -5%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 03 $2 $0 -13%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 03 $3 $0 -6%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $3 −$1 -21%
Magic vs. Pistons May 03 $2 $0 -4%
Canadiens vs. Lightning May 03 $2 $0 -6%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers May 03 $1 $0 -11%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $1 −$1 -49%
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W May 03 $3 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Challeng May 03 $2 $0 -2%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $3 −$1 -48%
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $3 +$1 +28%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) May 03 $3 $0 -5%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana May 03 $2 $0 -17%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 03 $2 −$2 -79%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? May 03 $2 $0 -13%
76ers vs. Celtics May 03 $3 +$5 +144%
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics May 03 $2 +$3 +125%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) May 03 $2 +$3 +114%
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-02? May 03 $2 $0 -15%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-02? May 03 $2 −$1 -60%
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5 May 03 $5 +$2 +37%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Grou May 03 $2 $0 -6%
Flyers vs. Hurricanes May 03 $2 −$1 -49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$18
other 42% −$5
politics 3% $0
world 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? SELL Yes $3 4m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $2 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes $3 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 81¢ $5 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 19¢ $5 20h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 19¢ $1 20h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 22¢ $4 21h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? SELL Yes $2 27h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes $3 27h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? SELL Yes $3 27h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 28h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 32¢ $6 28h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 28h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $16 28h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 20¢ $3 28h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $4 28h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 28h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 29h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? SELL Yes 34¢ $2 35d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 20¢ $1 39d
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL Yes 26¢ $1 39d
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in priso SELL Yes 28¢ $2 39d
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 56¢ $3 39d
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? SELL Yes 32¢ $3 39d
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 39d
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 57¢ $3 40d
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in priso BUY Yes 29¢ $1 40d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -67.5% -70.6% 0% 0% -58.1%
≤30d 20 -67.5% -70.6% 0% 0% -58.1%
≤90d 67 -9.3% -18.0% 22% 22% -20.4%
all 67 -9.3% -18.0% 22% 22% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.0% 22% -20.4%
10% -25.8% 21% -28.0%
15% -33.0% 19% -34.9%
20% -39.5% 16% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.32 · official $1.32 (match) · 185 history records