Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:12:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7ed…5680
crypto · 1126 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$538 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$529 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized+$529
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses540 / 526
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$60
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1066 / 1126
History coverage10d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day282.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1066 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$272
7 days+$227
14 days+$529
30 days+$529
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 47¢ 64¢ $24 $32 +$9 (+37%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$41 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$31 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$61 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$112 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$64 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$32 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$23 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $64 +$65 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$18 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$15 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$34 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$19 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$24 +102%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$38 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$28 +102%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$27 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$43 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$9 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$16 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$34 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$36 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$30 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$9 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$64 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$34 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$15 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$34 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$20 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$19 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$24 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$23 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$168
sports 14% +$370
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $24 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $22 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $20 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $19 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 645 +5.1% -4.9% 51% 51% -8.5%
≤30d 1066 +2.8% -7.0% 51% 50% -7.8%
≤90d 1066 +2.8% -7.0% 51% 50% -7.8%
all 1066 +2.8% -7.0% 51% 50% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover282.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 50% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 50% -16.6%
15% -24.0% 50% -24.7%
20% -31.5% 50% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.25 · official $35.75 · 3360 history records