trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +105.3% | +85.7% | 18% | 18% | +435.5% |
| ≤30d | 29 | +40.4% | +27.0% | 31% | 31% | +186.2% |
| ≤90d | 117 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 25% | 25% | +10.1% |
| all | 146 | +24.9% | +13.0% | 32% | 32% | +25.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +13.0% | 32% | +25.1% |
| 10% | +2.2% | 32% | +13.1% |
| 15% | -7.7% | 32% | +2.2% |
| 20% | -16.8% | 32% | -7.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $57 | $48 | −$9 (-17%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 3 Uruguay? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$80 | +1548% |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $1 | +$5 | +510% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $1 | +$2 | +172% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC? | Jun 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 31 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | May 29 | $1 | +$2 | +158% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | May 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | May 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: West Ham United FC 2 - 0 Leeds United FC? | May 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 2 Everton FC? | May 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | May 24 | $1 | +$2 | +165% |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) | May 23 | $1 | +$2 | +158% |
| Spread: Knicks (-8.5) | May 22 | $1 | +$1 | +134% |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | May 21 | $1 | +$1 | +119% |
| Spread: Knicks (-8.5) | May 20 | $1 | +$1 | +124% |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 3 Chelsea FC? | May 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | -18% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | May 09 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Spread: Thunder (-14.5) | May 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | May 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-16.5) | May 06 | $1 | +$1 | +114% |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | May 05 | $1 | +$1 | +97% |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) | May 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | May 04 | $1 | +$1 | +105% |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) | May 04 | $1 | +$1 | +119% |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 0 Liverpool FC? | May 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) | May 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | May 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | May 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | May 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | May 02 | $1 | +$2 | +152% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) | Apr 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) | Apr 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $1 | +$2 | +158% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |