Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:29:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7fa…5611
other · 1105 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$132 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$145 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$145
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses515 / 588
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1103 / 1105
History coverage625d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit14%
Chart Positions 2 History 1103 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$5
14 days−$39
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 49¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 43¢ 42¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$7 +129%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $5 +$5 +97%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $5 +$4 +79%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $5 +$4 +79%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 +$4 +76%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 +$4 +79%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 +$5 +105%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$5 +93%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5 +$7 +140%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-05-17? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FK Rubin Kazan win on 2026-05-17? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5 +$4 +76%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $5 +$4 +83%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? May 26 $5 +$5 +93%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 26 $5 +$13 +250%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19? May 20 $5 +$6 +109%
Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $5 +$8 +165%
Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $5 +$9 +180%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $5 +$4 +73%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $5 +$5 +105%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 16 $5 +$4 +79%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winner May 15 $2 +$2 +84%
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14? May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14? May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $5 +$4 +79%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 15 $5 +$5 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 86% −$163
sports 12% +$12
world 2% +$2
politics 0% +$7
crypto 0% −$5
economics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 49¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 13h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $5 19h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 39¢ $5 21h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 50¢ $5 26h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 43¢ $5 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 41h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 44¢ $5 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 53¢ $5 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 50¢ $5 3d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 55¢ $5 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 55¢ $5 5d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY 9z 56¢ $5 6d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 55¢ $5 6d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY GamerLegion 51¢ $5 6d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY FUT Esports 48¢ $5 6d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 51¢ $5 6d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY 9z 41¢ $5 7d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 55¢ $2 8d
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 53¢ $5 8d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Astralis 54¢ $5 8d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY 9z 56¢ $5 8d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner BUY Heroic 28¢ $5 9d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 14d
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 21¢ $3 20d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 20d
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -8.7% -17.4% 47% 47% -14.7%
≤30d 46 -4.9% -14.0% 46% 46% -13.1%
≤90d 207 -10.4% -18.9% 39% 39% -19.1%
all 1103 -3.5% -12.7% 47% 46% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 46% -12.1%
10% -21.0% 45% -20.6%
15% -28.7% 43% -28.2%
20% -35.7% 38% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.89 · official $9.89 (match) · 2205 history records