Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe805…aed8
crypto · 1252 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$490 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,797 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$407
Realized−$1,797
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1091 / 426
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1517 / 1252
History coverage19d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day68.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 1517 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,398
7 days−$2,295
14 days−$2,103
30 days−$1,797
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - April 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+64%)
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+22%)
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+85%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $7 $9 +$1 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+67%)
XRP Up or Down - March 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+32%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+56%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+44%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+43%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+39%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+33%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+32%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+15%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+10%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+10%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - April 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +64%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +67%
XRP Up or Down - March 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +32%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +56%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +43%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +43%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +37%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +32%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +223%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +178%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +156%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +150%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +117%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +96%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +89%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +85%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% +$560
other 24% +$90
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 30m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 40m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 52m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 10h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 785 -40.0% -45.7% 50% 42% -61.1%
≤30d 1517 -13.5% -21.8% 72% 63% -31.9%
≤90d 1517 -13.5% -21.8% 72% 63% -31.9%
all 1517 -13.5% -21.8% 72% 63% -31.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover68.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.8% 63% -31.9%
10% ← realistic here -29.2% 20% -38.5%
15% -36.1% 4% -44.4%
20% -42.3% 2% -49.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $406.53 · official $406.54 (match) · 3500 history records