Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:23:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E8 0xe807…8d4d crypto 328 markets active 19h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d only
✗ bot/MM pace (241 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$507 (-4%) realized −$507 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -29% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -45% what you keep after slip
Net edge-45%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate36%145W / 258L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$37per market
Trades / day240.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,847
7 days−$1,902
14 days−$2,476
30 days−$2,411
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$680
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (241 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-35.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 175 -45.0% -50.2% 26% 12% -28.0%
≤30d 403 -28.6% -35.4% 36% 25% -25.4%
≤90d 403 -28.6% -35.4% 36% 25% -25.4%
all 403 -28.6% -35.4% 36% 25% -25.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover240.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.4% 25% -25.4%
10% ← realistic here -41.6% 19% -32.6%
15% -47.3% 16% -39.1%
20% -52.4% 15% -45.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -29% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -14% → late -43% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
10.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$15 · ×0.69 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.39 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$507
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses145 / 258
Open positions0
Markets (closed)403 / 328
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$37
Trades / day240.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 403 Trades
no open positions (171 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 20 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 20 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 20 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 20 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 20 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 20 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 20 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 20 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 20 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 20 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 20 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 20 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 20 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 20 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 20 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 20 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 20 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 20 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 20 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 20 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 20 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 20 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 20 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 20 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 20 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 20 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 20 $16 −$16 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records