trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -90.0% | -91.0% | 0% | 0% | -86.9% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -90.0% | -91.0% | 0% | 0% | -86.9% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -70.3% | -73.1% | 20% | 20% | -68.7% |
| all | 82 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 40% | 38% | -2.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 38% | -2.7% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 38% | -12.0% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 35% | -20.5% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 34% | -28.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 13 | $13 | −$11 | -80% |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | Apr 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025? | Apr 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Apr 03 | $5 | +$1 | +29% |
| 76ers vs. Clippers | Feb 03 | $6 | +$8 | +122% |
| 76ers vs. Mavericks | Feb 02 | $5 | +$4 | +82% |
| US recession in 2025? | Jan 01 | $2 | +$1 | +28% |
| Heat vs. Bulls | Nov 26 | $2 | +$3 | +127% |
| Kings vs. Hornets | Jun 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 07 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 29 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024? | Jan 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024? | Jan 08 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Pelicans vs. Hawks | Dec 03 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Celtics | Dec 03 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Jazz | Dec 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Dec 02 | $2 | +$3 | +108% |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | Dec 01 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Nov 30 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Nov 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Warriors | Nov 26 | $5 | +$28 | +567% |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins | Nov 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025? | Nov 24 | $20 | −$4 | -20% |
| Nuggets vs. Lakers | Nov 24 | $5 | +$8 | +163% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Nov 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Lakers | Nov 22 | $5 | +$11 | +212% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Nov 20 | $5 | +$18 | +354% |
| Texans vs. Cowboys | Nov 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Heat | Nov 19 | $5 | +$3 | +67% |
| Falcons vs. Broncos | Nov 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Patriots | Nov 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Jaguars vs. Lions | Nov 18 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Nov 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Raiders vs. Dolphins | Nov 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Chiefs vs. Bills | Nov 18 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Browns vs. Saints | Nov 18 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| Bengals vs. Chargers | Nov 18 | $6 | +$5 | +85% |
| Ravens vs. Steelers | Nov 18 | $5 | +$8 | +163% |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers | Nov 18 | $5 | +$13 | +257% |
| Colts vs. Jets | Nov 18 | $15 | +$24 | +157% |
| Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025? | Nov 16 | $30 | −$8 | -25% |
| Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called? | Nov 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Nov 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | Nov 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Cavaliers | Nov 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Knicks | Nov 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Spurs | Nov 16 | $5 | +$4 | +72% |
| Pistons vs. Raptors | Nov 16 | $5 | +$5 | +108% |
| 76ers vs. Magic | Nov 16 | $5 | +$6 | +117% |