Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe815…7b75
other · 6 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$25 +24%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized+$23
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)4 / 6
History coverage67d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown15%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 2 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$1
14 days+$24
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+13%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $3 −$3 -97%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $42 +$28 +67%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Apr 06 $43 −$1 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% −$3
sports 39% +$28
politics 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 1h
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 4d
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 7d
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 7d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $12 8d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 99¢ $70 12d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 58¢ $42 14d
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? SELL No 51¢ $42 66d
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? BUY No 52¢ $43 66d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-40.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 3 -44.4% -49.7% 33% 33% +37.8%
≤90d 4 -33.8% -40.1% 25% 25% +14.1%
all 4 -33.8% -40.1% 25% 25% +14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -40.1% 25% +14.1%
10% -45.8% 25% +3.2%
15% -51.0% 25% -6.8%
20% -55.8% 25% -15.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.31 · official $18.31 (match) · 17 history records