Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T17:42:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E8 0xe817…18da crypto 1509 markets active 1h ago coverage 39d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 38d only
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$172 (+0%) realized +$172 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate92%1409W / 126L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day53.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$372
7 days−$646
14 days−$611
30 days−$954
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$124
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -18.7% -26.5% 67% 54% -20.2%
≤30d 768 -3.5% -12.7% 87% 35% -13.0%
≤90d 1535 -0.9% -10.4% 92% 21% -11.1%
all 1535 -0.9% -10.4% 92% 21% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 21% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 7% -19.6%
15% -26.8% 3% -27.3%
20% -33.9% 1% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
75% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$32 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

39d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$172
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1409 / 126
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1535 / 1509
History coverage39d ⚠
Avg bet$27
Trades / day53.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1535 Trades
no open positions (114 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 24 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 24 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 24 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 24 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 24 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 24 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 24 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 24 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 24 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 24 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 24 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 24 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 24 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 24 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 24 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 24 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 24 $23 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 24 $27 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $35 +$21 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $54 +$10 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 24 $51 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 24 $49 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 23 $44 +$16 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 23 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $52 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $55 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 23 $53 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$6 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $28 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $23 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $27 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $35 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $54 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $52 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $51 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $51 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $49 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $50 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $44 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $51 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $52 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $55 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $53 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $56 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $51 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $54 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $52 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $53 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $20 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records