Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:25:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe81e…6989
crypto · 1791 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,255 -96%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,255 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,255
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1706 / 494
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2200 / 1791
History coverage7d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day267.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 0 History 2200 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,231
7 days−$4,255
14 days−$4,255
30 days−$4,255
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$26
other 22% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 16m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 31m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 51m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 51m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-26.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2200 -19.0% -26.7% 78% 7% -54.0%
≤30d 2200 -19.0% -26.7% 78% 7% -54.0%
≤90d 2200 -19.0% -26.7% 78% 7% -54.0%
all 2200 -19.0% -26.7% 78% 7% -54.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover267.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.7% 7% -54.0%
10% ← realistic here -33.7% 0% -58.4%
15% -40.1% 0% -62.4%
20% -46.0% 0% -66.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records