trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -75.7% | -78.1% | 20% | 20% | -79.1% |
| all | 29 | -42.1% | -47.6% | 28% | 17% | -25.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -47.6% | 17% | -25.1% |
| 10% | -52.6% | 10% | -32.3% |
| 15% | -57.2% | 10% | -38.8% |
| 20% | -61.4% | 10% | -44.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $100 | $97 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $128 | −$126 | -98% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | May 28 | $82 | −$80 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 28 | $121 | −$120 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 28 | $100 | +$21 | +21% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30? | Dec 30 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Split Fiction win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Nov 17 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Nov 17 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05? | Nov 05 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Nov 01 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Nov 01 | $2,100 | −$201 | -10% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Oct 31 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May? | Oct 31 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Oct 31 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Oct 31 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22? | Oct 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21? | Oct 21 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20? | Sep 21 | $400 | +$711 | +178% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18? | Sep 18 | $250 | +$444 | +178% |
| Will Chelsea beat PSG? | Jul 13 | $100 | +$400 | +400% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21? | May 21 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08? | Apr 08 | $78 | −$78 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025? | Feb 04 | $500 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-26? | Jan 28 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Rangers beat Manchester United? | Jan 26 | $300 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will Arsenal beat Dinamo Zagreb? | Jan 23 | $20 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Real Madrid beat RB Salzburg? | Jan 23 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election? | Jan 23 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |