Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:45:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E8 0xe823…4c05 crypto 343 markets active 6d ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (109 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$459 (-7%) realized −$459 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate55%187W / 156L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day108.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 8d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$584
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (109 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 173 -2.4% -11.7% 58% 58% -12.2%
≤30d 343 -8.8% -17.5% 55% 55% -18.1%
≤90d 343 -8.8% -17.5% 55% 55% -18.1%
all 343 -8.8% -17.5% 55% 55% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover108.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 55% -18.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 41% -26.0%
15% -32.6% 30% -33.1%
20% -39.2% 19% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$13 · ×0.6 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$459
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses187 / 156
Open positions0
Markets (closed)343 / 343
History coverage8d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day108.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 343 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $33 +$14 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$17 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $43 +$15 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $35 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$17 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $43 −$13 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $40 −$17 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $29 −$17 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $47 +$15 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $34 +$15 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $44 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$22 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $23 +$18 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $43 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $37 −$12 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $49 −$30 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$15 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $54 −$22 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$9 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $55 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $34 +$15 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $46 +$16 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $28 +$21 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $36 −$14 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$13 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $48 −$25 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $46 −$16 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $67 −$36 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $53 +$24 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $65 −$13 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $56 −$33 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $34 +$28 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $62 +$16 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $78 −$69 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $72 +$20 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $54 +$20 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$23 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $46 +$17 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $34 +$27 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $39 +$17 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $53 −$15 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $38 +$20 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $35 −$11 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $22 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$11 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$6 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $24 +$10 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $33 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $31 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $39 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $30 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $35 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $31 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $43 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1060 history records