Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:33:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe824…65b4
sports · 1433 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open +$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$440
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$21
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses642 / 680
Est. fees paid−$137
Open positions111
Markets (closed)1322 / 1433
History coverage12d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day200.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 111 History 1322 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$131
7 days−$477
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 49¢ 50¢ $35 $35 +$0 (+1%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 70¢ 98¢ $8 $12 +$3 (+40%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 44¢ 80¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+81%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner UCAM Esports Club 36¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+178%)
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Roberto Carballes Baena 36¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+178%)
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01? Yes 74¢ 72¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 46¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+117%)
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Galions 70¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+43%)
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? No 65¢ 68¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 59¢ 60¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 54¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+85%)
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026? Yes 38¢ 66¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+72%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 63¢ 64¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) FURIA 36¢ 58¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+61%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 63¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+59%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 55¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 65¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+54%)
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 57¢ 58¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No 73¢ 72¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Australia 54¢ 54¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 54¢ 80¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+47%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Under 40¢ 39¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Under 40¢ 38¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Bebop 44¢ 62¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+42%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 −$2 -60%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $6 −$1 -9%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $6 −$1 -11%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $8 −$3 -39%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$2 -68%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6 −$1 -14%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $6 −$4 -72%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $3 −$2 -62%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $3 −$2 -69%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $3 −$2 -65%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimo Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Caty McNally vs Mika Stojsavljevic Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$4 +140%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$2 -79%
Set 1 Winner: Udvardy vs Volynets Jun 13 $3 −$2 -79%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $3 +$1 +35%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $6 −$1 -14%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Jun 13 $3 −$2 -60%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$4 +146%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $3 −$2 -65%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $3 −$3 -87%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $3 −$2 -60%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $8 +$1 +12%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $6 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$2 -81%
Barbora Krejcikova vs. Magda Linette: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $3 −$2 -76%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $3 −$2 -62%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $3 −$2 -69%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 13 $6 −$1 -20%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$2 -82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$16
other 4% −$3
world 1% +$2
politics 0% +$5
crypto 0% $0
tech 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 71¢ $3 0m
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Power Rangers 73¢ $3 1m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 44¢ $3 1m
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Filippo Romano 44¢ $3 8m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 16¢ $1 18m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Under 49¢ $3 20m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 56¢ $3 36m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 58¢ $3 36m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 52¢ $3 36m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $3 36m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5 BUY Under 50¢ $3 40m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 21¢ $1 42m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo SELL Karmine Corp Blue 18¢ $1 52m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 44¢ $3 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY Karmine Corp Blue 43¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 53¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 48¢ $3 1h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi SELL Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 16¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 7¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 63¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 46¢ $5 1h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 36¢ $3 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 72¢ $3 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw SELL Felix Balshaw 22¢ $1 1h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner BUY Galions 70¢ $5 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) SELL Vitality 16¢ $1 2h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 72¢ $3 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL FUT Esports 10¢ $1 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 69¢ $3 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 45¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 992 -7.3% -16.2% 47% 45% -16.2%
≤30d 1322 -2.3% -11.6% 49% 46% -9.8%
≤90d 1322 -2.3% -11.6% 49% 46% -9.8%
all 1322 -2.3% -11.6% 49% 46% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover200.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 46% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 41% -18.4%
15% -27.8% 35% -26.3%
20% -34.9% 27% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $439.69 · official $442.45 (match) · 3500 history records