Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T09:17:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E8 0xe826…7a7b crypto 816 markets active 1h ago coverage 97d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$21 (+0%) realized +$21 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%800W / 16L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day8.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days−$8
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% +$6
other 5% +$5
sports 4% $0
finance 1% +$1
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 +1.0% -8.6% 99% 0% -8.7%
≤30d 229 +0.6% -9.0% 98% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 679 +0.2% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.4%
all 816 +0.2% -9.4% 98% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$9 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.09 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

97d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses800 / 16
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)816 / 816
History coverage97d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day8.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 816 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 29 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET Jun 29 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET Jun 29 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4PM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 4PM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 11AM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6AM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5AM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 4AM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4AM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4AM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 12AM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10PM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10PM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7PM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 6PM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4PM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4PM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2PM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1PM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 27? Jun 27 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27? Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down on June 27? Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10PM ET Jun 25 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 10PM ET Jun 25 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 6PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 6PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 3PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 4AM ET Jun 24 $4 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 12AM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Will Dailyn Swain be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Will Karim López be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Will Allen Graves be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Will Bennett Stirtz be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 24 $10 $0 +4%
Will Ebuka Okorie be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 24 $9 +$1 +6%
Will Keaton Wagler be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 24 $7 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 4PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 11AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 24h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 24h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 12AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 30h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 33h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 6PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 36h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 39h
Solana Up or Down on June 27? BUY Down 97¢ $10 41h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 27? BUY Up 99¢ $10 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27? BUY Up 97¢ $10 41h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.92 · official $0.00 (match) · 2026 history records