trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +96.1% | +77.5% | 50% | 50% | -4.4% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +8.3% | -2.0% | 36% | 36% | -20.7% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +8.3% | -2.0% | 36% | 36% | -20.7% |
| all | 14 | +8.3% | -2.0% | 36% | 36% | -20.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.0% | 36% | -20.7% |
| 10% | -11.4% | 36% | -28.3% |
| 15% | -19.9% | 29% | -35.2% |
| 20% | -27.8% | 21% | -41.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 9¢ | $208 | $156 | −$53 (-25%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $136 | $122 | −$13 (-10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5 | Jun 26 | $101 | +$56 | +56% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 26 | $302 | +$108 | +36% |
| Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil? | Jun 25 | $4 | +$32 | +786% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 24 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 1 Korea Republic? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $55 | −$54 | -99% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $25 | +$29 | +114% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $101 | +$26 | +26% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $45 | −$45 | -99% |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |