Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:52:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe854…9e4d
crypto · 80 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses25 / 53
Open positions2
Markets (closed)78 / 80
History coverage9d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$17
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 52¢ 56¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 39¢ 38¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +129%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$9 +170%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -51%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$5 +173%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -13%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -29%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -77%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -33%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $4 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $2 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $3 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $2 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-27.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -16.7% -24.6% 29% 26% -17.0%
≤30d 78 -20.2% -27.8% 32% 29% -18.0%
≤90d 78 -20.2% -27.8% 32% 29% -18.0%
all 78 -20.2% -27.8% 32% 29% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.8% 29% -18.0%
10% -34.7% 26% -25.8%
15% -41.1% 23% -33.0%
20% -46.8% 22% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.34 · official $5.45 (match) · 177 history records