Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:18:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe856…2541
crypto · 340 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$160 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$160 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$160
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses162 / 176
Open positions2
Markets (closed)338 / 340
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day300.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 338 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$127
7 days−$160
14 days−$160
30 days−$160
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 52¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 50¢ 62¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$160
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 338 -8.3% -17.1% 48% 47% -21.9%
≤30d 338 -8.3% -17.1% 48% 47% -21.9%
≤90d 338 -8.3% -17.1% 48% 47% -21.9%
all 338 -8.3% -17.1% 48% 47% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover300.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.1% 47% -21.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 45% -29.4%
15% -32.3% 41% -36.2%
20% -38.9% 38% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.27 · official $6.83 (match) · 847 history records