trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -77.3% | -79.4% | 0% | 0% | -62.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -34.8% | -41.0% | 27% | 9% | -41.2% |
| all | 11 | -34.8% | -41.0% | 27% | 9% | -41.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.0% | 9% | -41.2% |
| 10% | -46.6% | 9% | -46.8% |
| 15% | -51.8% | 9% | -51.9% |
| 20% | -56.5% | 0% | -56.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $71 | $69 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $12 | −$12 | -97% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $52 | −$52 | -99% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $70 | −$68 | -98% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May? | Jun 10 | $110 | −$10 | -9% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12? | May 12 | $103 | −$5 | -5% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4? | May 04 | $210 | −$9 | -4% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 03 | $580 | −$580 | -100% |
| LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | May 03 | $102 | +$38 | +38% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 01 | $473 | +$47 | +10% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Apr 18 | $36 | −$6 | -18% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | Apr 18 | $113 | +$6 | +6% |