Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T03:38:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
E8 0xe867…0905 other 494 markets active 2h ago coverage 156d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable P/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL −$2,080 (-6%) realized −$2,080 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +25% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +8% what you keep after slip
Net edge+8%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate42%179W / 251L
Drawdown62%max
Avg bet$68per market
Trades / day5.3pace
Fees−$320est.
Kalshi-fit50%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 156d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 50% −$871
sports 49% +$5,588
world 1% +$3
crypto 0% +$104
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +204.5% +175.5% 75% 75% +155.6%
≤30d 74 +73.4% +56.9% 54% 54% +83.0%
≤90d 358 +23.5% +11.7% 42% 42% +12.9%
all 430 +24.9% +13.0% 42% 41% +7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +13.0% 41% +7.2%
10% +2.2% 40% -3.0%
15% -7.7% 39% -12.4%
20% -16.7% 34% -21.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +25% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +25% · $-wt +20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +28% → late +21% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$90 vs −$45 · ×2.0 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.43 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

156d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,080
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses179 / 251
Est. fees paid−$320
Open positions0
Markets (closed)430 / 494
History coverage156d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day5.3
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit50%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 430 Trades
no open positions (214 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $142 +$191 +134%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $198 +$184 +93%
Spread: Spain (-5.5) Jun 21 $97 −$95 -98%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Urug Jun 21 $102 −$13 -12%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Urugua Jun 21 $102 −$20 -20%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-19 Jun 21 $102 +$314 +307%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Unite Jun 21 $205 +$925 +451%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 21 $103 +$563 +549%
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score AND Tunisia vs. Japan: Jun 21 $102 +$391 +382%
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 0.5 AND Switzerland vs. Bosnia a Jun 19 $253 +$380 +151%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $122 +$262 +214%
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? AND Will Switzerland win on Jun 18 $102 +$276 +270%
Spread: Ghana (-1.5) AND Spread: England (-1.5) AND Will Colombia win Jun 18 $103 +$625 +609%
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06- Jun 18 $204 +$295 +145%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $102 +$125 +123%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Wi Jun 17 $401 +$423 +106%
Spread: Norway (-1.5) AND Spread: France (-1.5) AND Will Austria win o Jun 17 $102 +$410 +400%
Spread: Norway (-1.5) AND Spread: Austria (-1.5) AND Will France win o Jun 17 $102 +$402 +393%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 16 $138 −$8 -6%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $202 −$198 -98%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) AND Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) AND Will Côte d' Jun 15 $103 +$745 +726%
Spread: Germany (-2.5) AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Wil Jun 15 $102 +$298 +291%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Wil Jun 15 $102 +$466 +454%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) AND Will Scotland Jun 14 $245 +$455 +186%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $132 +$118 +89%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $98 −$96 -98%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $102 +$111 +109%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $93 +$102 +110%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $613 −$112 -18%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $68 +$98 +143%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $51 +$81 +158%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $111 +$108 +97%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Spread: Venezuela (-1.5) Jun 10 $31 −$30 -98%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $51 −$50 -99%
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $51 +$31 +62%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $42 −$41 -98%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $16 −$2 -14%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $18 +$12 +67%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $50 +$15 +30%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $51 +$60 +119%
Portugal vs. Chile: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $51 +$58 +114%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $51 −$50 -98%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $31 −$30 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $45 +$53 +119%
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $55 −$54 -99%
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $56 −$55 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $16 −$16 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 51¢ $198 1h
Spread: England (-1.5) AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Ne BUY 8¢ $103 1h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21 BUY 13¢ $103 1h
Spread: Spain (-5.5) BUY Spain 44¢ $97 11h
Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgiu BUY 24¢ $100 12h
Spread: Egypt (-1.5) AND Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Will Belgium win on BUY 13¢ $101 12h
Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Spread: Belgium (-1.5) AND Will Egypt win on BUY 14¢ $72 12h
Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Urug SELL 20¢ $90 12h
Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Urugua SELL 17¢ $82 12h
Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Urug BUY 22¢ $102 12h
Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Spread: Belgium (-1.5) AND Will Uruguay win o BUY 18¢ $102 13h
Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Urugua BUY 21¢ $102 20h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? SELL Yes 100¢ $666 21h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 15¢ $103 23h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? BUY 42¢ $142 23h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Wi BUY 14¢ $154 23h
Spread: Germany (-1.5) AND Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) AND Will Japan win o BUY 16¢ $100 34h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score AND Tunisia vs. Japan: BUY 20¢ $102 35h
Spread: Germany (-1.5) AND Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) AND Will Japan win o BUY 27¢ $204 45h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score AND Will Japan win on 2 BUY 16¢ $92 47h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Ecuador (-1 BUY 23¢ $102 2d
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Brazil (-2. BUY 20¢ $102 2d
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Brazil (-2. BUY 12¢ $103 2d
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Spread: United States (-1.5) AND Will Japan BUY 9¢ $103 2d
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Unite BUY 9¢ $103 2d
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Spread: United States (-1.5) AND Will Japan BUY 19¢ $102 2d
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Unite BUY 18¢ $205 2d
Spread: United States (-1.5) AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Wil BUY 25¢ $102 2d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-19 BUY 24¢ $102 2d
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 AND Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) AND Will BUY 19¢ $102 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $100.00 · 904 history records