trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -36.3% | -42.3% | 0% | 0% | -47.8% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -11.0% | -19.5% | 25% | 25% | -34.1% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -62.3% | -65.9% | 8% | 8% | -45.3% |
| all | 19 | -59.4% | -63.3% | 16% | 5% | -47.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -63.3% | 5% | -47.4% |
| 10% | -66.8% | 5% | -52.5% |
| 15% | -70.0% | 5% | -57.1% |
| 20% | -73.0% | 5% | -61.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 33¢ | 34¢ | $56 | $57 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $38 | $36 | −$2 (-6%) |
| Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 39¢ | 38¢ | $34 | $33 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 14¢ | $24 | $32 | +$8 (+32%) |
| World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties? | Yes | 32¢ | 31¢ | $9 | $9 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $10 | $6 | −$4 (-36%) |
| Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 16¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $39 | −$4 | -9% |
| Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $67 | −$50 | -75% |
| Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu | Jun 23 | $51 | −$12 | -24% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Jun 13 | $26 | +$17 | +65% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | May 05 | $6 | −$6 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | May 05 | $6 | −$6 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | May 05 | $7 | −$6 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | May 05 | $43 | −$13 | -30% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | May 05 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | May 05 | $6 | −$6 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | May 05 | $7 | −$7 | -95% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | May 05 | $28 | −$10 | -36% |
| 2025 June hottest on record? | Jun 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 25 | $3 | $0 | +8% |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 24 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 24 | $3 | −$1 | -28% |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? | Jun 17 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |