Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T08:23:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E8 0xe890…377c crypto 6 markets active 4h ago coverage 4d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$15 (-0%) realized −$15 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 5L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,325per market
Trades / day41.7pace
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$15
world 11% $0
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.4% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 5 -0.4% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 5 -0.4% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.7%
all 5 -0.4% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover41.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.5% 0% -18.4%
15% ← realistic here -26.4% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
14.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$3 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 6
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1,325
Trades / day41.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 5 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Yes 73¢ 64¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 20 $100 −$1 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? Jun 18 $1,804 −$5 -0%
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 Jun 18 $500 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $2,604 −$6 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $2,530 −$4 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 96¢ $99 3h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 97¢ $100 3h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? SELL Yes 72¢ $7 4h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? BUY Yes 73¢ $7 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 33h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $6 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.13 · official $0.00 (match) · 170 history records