Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:10:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe891…4b25
sports · 455 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$4,322 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,879 · open +$447
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Net worth$1,358
Realized+$3,879
Unrealized+$447
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses211 / 243
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$461
Open positions1
Markets (closed)454 / 455
History coverage314d
Avg bet$115
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 1 History 454 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$213
7 days+$299
14 days+$630
30 days+$299
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes 63¢ 94¢ $911 $1,358 +$447 (+49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $556 −$160 -29%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $226 −$8 -4%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $655 −$45 -7%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 09 $118 −$16 -13%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 09 $86 +$63 +73%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 07 $506 +$520 +103%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 07 $81 −$44 -55%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $81 −$10 -13%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $101 −$5 -5%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 05 $101 +$26 +25%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7? Jun 04 $227 −$150 -66%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $147 −$119 -80%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $150 +$102 +68%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2? Jun 02 $101 +$64 +64%
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO Jun 02 $58 −$1 -2%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $46 −$10 -21%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Jun 01 $25 −$14 -55%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $55 +$36 +66%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann May 31 $38 +$16 +43%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $105 +$117 +112%
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys May 31 $261 −$65 -25%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe May 31 $55 +$100 +182%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce May 30 $72 +$77 +106%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $71 +$16 +23%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana May 30 $49 +$30 +60%
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton May 30 $94 −$94 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? May 30 $276 +$154 +56%
Will AC Monza win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $51 +$51 +101%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? May 29 $108 −$7 -6%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas May 28 $241 +$38 +16%
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paul May 28 $50 −$50 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 28 $253 +$127 +50%
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva May 28 $54 −$47 -87%
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? May 27 $151 +$73 +48%
Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar May 27 $249 +$41 +17%
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? May 26 $49 −$49 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils May 26 $378 −$312 -83%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 25 $127 −$9 -8%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin May 25 $45 +$49 +110%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $122 −$122 -100%
Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $44 −$44 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton May 25 $190 −$190 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 25 $44 +$31 +70%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $90 +$203 +226%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $481 +$99 +21%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $320 +$82 +26%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $249 +$103 +41%
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $91 −$2 -2%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? May 20 $201 −$98 -49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 47% +$986
other 31% +$1,206
finance 10% +$979
crypto 4% +$631
tech 4% +$263
world 3% +$282
economics 0% −$12
politics 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL No 31¢ $57 21m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 33¢ $65 58m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL No 29¢ $65 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 34¢ $13 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 37¢ $37 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL Yes 88¢ $41 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL Yes 88¢ $9 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 58¢ $54 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes 40¢ $54 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 68¢ $149 19h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 47¢ $66 19h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $78 19h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $137 19h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 47h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $26 47h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 47h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 47h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $30 47h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $20 2d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $20 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 62¢ $40 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 62¢ $2 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 62¢ $49 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 62¢ $8 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 62¢ $41 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 62¢ $3 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 62¢ $5 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 16¢ $14 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +6.9% -3.2% 25% 25% +2.2%
≤30d 92 +1.1% -8.5% 45% 45% -7.5%
≤90d 436 -1.1% -10.5% 46% 44% -3.5%
all 454 +2.4% -7.3% 46% 44% -2.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.3% 44% -2.6%
10% -16.2% 40% -12.0%
15% -24.3% 33% -20.5%
20% -31.7% 26% -28.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,357.70 · official $1,357.70 (match) · 2656 history records