Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:11:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7.5
score
E8 0xe896…a4c7 sports 89 markets active 0h ago coverage 26d
COPY-WORTHYcopy this sports specialistFresh edge
Total PnL +$2,702 (+31%) realized +$2,700 · open +$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +24% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +8% what you keep after slip
Net edge+8%after slip
Net WR72%break-even
Win rate74%65W / 23L
Drawdown7%max
Avg bet$97per market
Trades / day7.3pace
Fees−$119est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$67now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$469
7 days+$1,425
14 days+$1,867
30 days+$2,681
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% +$2,626
other 1% +$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +72%
net ROI/market (all)+11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +35.9% +23.0% 77% 74% +28.9%
≤30d 88 +23.7% +11.9% 74% 72% +20.2%
≤90d 88 +23.7% +11.9% 74% 72% +20.2%
all 88 +23.7% +11.9% 74% 72% +20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.9% 72% +20.2%
10% +1.2% 67% +8.7%
15% -8.6% 52% -1.8%
20% -17.6% 41% -11.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +32% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +24% · $-wt +32% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late +35% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$61 vs −$56 · ×1.09 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×3.09 per $1 lost it wins $3.09
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$67
Realized+$2,700
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses65 / 23
Est. fees paid−$119
Open positions1
Markets (closed)88 / 89
History coverage26d
Avg bet$97
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 88 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner T1 Academy 55¢ 56¢ $65 $67 +$2 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 19 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner Jun 17 $61 +$44 +73%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $102 +$160 +157%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $250 +$148 +59%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner Jun 15 $185 −$13 -7%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner Jun 15 $291 +$162 +56%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo Jun 15 $208 −$33 -16%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $79 +$74 +93%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $185 +$28 +15%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $100 +$52 +52%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $100 +$124 +123%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $100 +$134 +134%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $126 +$100 +80%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $144 +$47 +32%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$43 +43%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $100 −$99 -99%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $49 +$17 +34%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $75 +$37 +50%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$24 +24%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $126 +$221 +176%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $72 +$25 +35%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$33 +33%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $141 +$140 +100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $129 +$56 +43%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $67 +$29 +43%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $66 −$65 -99%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $81 −$13 -16%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $56 +$23 +42%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $59 +$31 +52%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $56 −$55 -99%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $100 +$14 +14%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $35 −$35 -99%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $50 +$36 +73%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $77 +$22 +29%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $100 −$23 -23%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $146 +$43 +29%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $248 +$8 +3%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $101 +$38 +38%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $102 +$111 +110%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $175 +$28 +16%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $100 +$75 +75%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $51 +$49 +97%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $51 +$31 +62%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $137 +$44 +32%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $100 +$38 +38%
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) May 28 $30 −$30 -98%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers May 28 $110 −$77 -70%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner May 28 $64 +$47 +73%
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Sta May 28 $43 +$14 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 Academy 55¢ $66 4m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner SELL Dplus KIA Challengers 100¢ $105 40m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 57¢ $61 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster Challengers 100¢ $262 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 35¢ $51 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 42¢ $51 2h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner SELL Dplus KIA Challengers 91¢ $398 2h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 40¢ $77 2h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 45¢ $23 2h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 75¢ $150 3h
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner SELL Galions 49¢ $1 40h
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner SELL Galions 100¢ $334 40h
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner BUY Galions 50¢ $171 41h
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner SELL Galions 48¢ $171 41h
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner BUY Galions 50¢ $185 41h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo SELL EDward Gaming 100¢ $66 41h
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner SELL Galions 41¢ $119 41h
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner BUY Galions 40¢ $120 41h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo BUY EDward Gaming 62¢ $41 41h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo SELL XLG Gaming 40¢ $42 41h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo BUY XLG Gaming 62¢ $67 41h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo SELL EDward Gaming 41¢ $67 41h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo BUY EDward Gaming 59¢ $100 2d
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL LYON 100¢ $153 2d
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY LYON 51¢ $79 2d
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL LYON 100¢ $128 2d
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY LYON 65¢ $84 2d
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Liquid 44¢ $84 2d
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 51¢ $101 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 100¢ $153 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.76 · official $66.77 (match) · 195 history records