Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:37:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E8 0xe898…de99 crypto 340 markets active 5h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$8 (-2%) realized −$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate48%162W / 178L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day68.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (68 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 340 -3.6% -12.8% 48% 44% -13.0%
≤30d 340 -3.6% -12.8% 48% 44% -13.0%
≤90d 340 -3.6% -12.8% 48% 44% -13.0%
all 340 -3.6% -12.8% 48% 44% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 44% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 40% -21.4%
15% -28.7% 39% -29.0%
20% -35.7% 37% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×1.0 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses162 / 178
Open positions0
Markets (closed)340 / 340
History coverage6d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day68.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 340 Trades
no open positions (146 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 584 history records