Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:07:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe89b…701f
crypto · 424 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$548 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$534 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$35
Realized−$534
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses194 / 230
Open positions1
Markets (closed)424 / 424
History coverage6d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day130.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 424 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$238
7 days−$534
14 days−$534
30 days−$534
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $17 $23 +$6 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$12 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$28 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$14 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$13 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$10 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$14 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$7 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$23 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$6 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$19 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$6 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$37 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$12 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$10 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$5 -25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$548
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $12 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $12 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $12 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $13 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $6 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 424 -11.1% -19.5% 46% 36% -18.9%
≤30d 424 -11.1% -19.5% 46% 36% -18.9%
≤90d 424 -11.1% -19.5% 46% 36% -18.9%
all 424 -11.1% -19.5% 46% 36% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover130.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.5% 36% -18.9%
10% ← realistic here -27.2% 29% -26.7%
15% -34.3% 23% -33.8%
20% -40.7% 18% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.38 · official $36.45 · 3500 history records