Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:50:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe8a4…0c00
sports · 293 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$74
Realized−$3
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses135 / 155
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions3
Markets (closed)290 / 293
History coverage149d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 3 History 290 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-3%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner Team Heretics 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B LYON 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-25? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B LYON 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner Natus Vincere 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner LOUD 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Nuggets Nuggets 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: RMD Gaming vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season RMD Gaming 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 65¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs FN Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Round FN Esports 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Los Ratones 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-02-26? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 89¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Magic vs. Bucks Bucks 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $30 +$17 +57%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$35 +114%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 08 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$7 +73%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$14 +134%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner May 24 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 24 $20 +$10 +52%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Apr 16 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Apr 12 $20 +$11 +57%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 11 $30 −$30 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner Apr 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Will ohnePixel win the PogChamps chess tournament? Apr 11 $145 +$76 +52%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 11 $200 −$199 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 11 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Apr 11 $25 −$25 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Apr 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Apr 10 $30 +$19 +62%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Apr 09 $13 +$14 +109%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 09 $30 −$30 -99%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $10 +$7 +73%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Apr 09 $20 +$10 +52%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Apr 09 $40 +$19 +48%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 09 $100 +$44 +44%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Apr 08 $40 +$17 +42%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Apr 08 $20 −$20 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Apr 08 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Master Apr 08 $7 +$2 +34%
LoL: 7REX vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season Apr 08 $5 +$5 +99%
LoL: RMD Gaming vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular S Apr 07 $5 +$4 +83%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Apr 07 $10 +$11 +105%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 06 $35 −$34 -99%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 06 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? Apr 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? Apr 06 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Apr 06 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: RMD Gaming vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Apr 06 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Apr 06 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - Apr 06 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers Le Apr 06 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desaf Apr 06 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Apr 06 $30 −$20 -66%
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Apr 06 $5 +$6 +124%
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Apr 06 $5 +$12 +238%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Apr 06 $10 +$9 +92%
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Apr 06 $30 +$11 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% −$130
other 17% +$169
crypto 8% −$44
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $15 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $10 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $51 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $30 25h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $30 25h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $30 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $30 37h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $20 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 54¢ $10 6d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner BUY KT Rolster 57¢ $10 6d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 42¢ $10 6d
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Vitality 35¢ $15 20d
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY DN SOOPers 25¢ $10 58d
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY BNK FEARX 65¢ $20 63d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season BUY G2 Esports 67¢ $30 63d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 57¢ $20 63d
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 63¢ $20 63d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Gen.G 89¢ $200 63d
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Nongshim Red Force 44¢ $10 63d
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner BUY Nongshim Red Force 70¢ $25 63d
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner BUY Nongshim Red Force 64¢ $15 64d
Will ohnePixel win the PogChamps chess tournament? BUY No 66¢ $100 64d
Will ohnePixel win the PogChamps chess tournament? BUY No 65¢ $30 64d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 61¢ $30 65d
Will ohnePixel win the PogChamps chess tournament? BUY No 63¢ $15 65d
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY HANJIN BRION 59¢ $30 65d
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner BUY Kiwoom DRX 47¢ $13 65d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $20 66d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $40 66d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -13.5% -21.8% 44% 44% -23.0%
≤30d 11 -15.4% -23.5% 45% 45% -22.7%
≤90d 115 +10.7% +0.1% 46% 46% -12.0%
all 290 +11.3% +0.7% 47% 46% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +0.7% 46% -9.9%
10% -9.0% 46% -18.5%
15% -17.8% 42% -26.4%
20% -25.8% 36% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $73.87 · official $73.87 (match) · 476 history records