trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | +33.4% | +20.7% | 28% | 28% | -36.5% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +4.4% | -5.5% | 22% | 22% | -51.7% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +4.4% | -5.5% | 22% | 22% | -51.7% |
| all | 23 | +4.4% | -5.5% | 22% | 22% | -51.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.5% | 22% | -51.7% |
| 10% | -14.6% | 22% | -56.4% |
| 15% | -22.8% | 22% | -60.6% |
| 20% | -30.4% | 22% | -64.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $206 | $140 | −$66 (-32%) |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Brazil | 52¢ | 52¢ | $98 | $97 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $100 | $79 | −$21 (-21%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 4¢ | $11 | $14 | +$3 (+25%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $11 | $11 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $90 | −$88 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Qatar? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Qatar? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Korea Republic? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 0 Panama? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$31 | +596% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $50 | +$38 | +76% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 2 Norway? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$51 | +980% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $88 | −$87 | -99% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $40 | +$55 | +140% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $43 | +$46 | +109% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $17 | −$16 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $53 | −$52 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $56 | −$55 | -97% |