Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:08:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe8ab…f9cf
sports · 1651 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$362 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$108
Realized−$27
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses905 / 724
Est. fees paid−$96
Open positions24
Markets (closed)1629 / 1651
History coverage48d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day52.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 24 History 1629 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,069
7 days−$844
14 days−$493
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? No 84¢ 84¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Japan leading at halftime? No 79¢ 78¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? No 79¢ 78¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? No 76¢ 76¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 70¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-5%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands leading at halftime? No 64¢ 64¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 60¢ 62¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 51¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 53¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$1 (-12%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score No 46¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 83¢ 82¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? No 40¢ 40¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 66¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-9%)
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No 68¢ 82¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+21%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 38¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+33%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 39¢ 26¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-33%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? No 10¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-94%)
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Türkiye leading at halftime? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $4 +$2 +57%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 14 $6 $0 -8%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 14 $5 +$2 +49%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $5 +$5 +101%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Australia leading at halftime? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) Jun 14 $7 +$3 +42%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $8 +$2 +18%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $4 +$6 +134%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $4 +$3 +73%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 +$8 +426%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $4 +$6 +152%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $5 +$3 +58%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$4 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $7 +$2 +36%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$3 +58%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$3 +70%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $8 $0 -2%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% −$80
other 29% +$14
world 1% +$30
crypto 1% +$3
politics 0% $0
finance 0% −$3
tech 0% $0
culture 0% +$2
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Japan leading at halftime? BUY No 79¢ $8 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 44¢ $4 1h
Netherlands leading at halftime? BUY No 64¢ $6 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $6 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 37¢ $4 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 59¢ $6 3h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) SELL T1 56¢ $6 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 55¢ $6 3h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 60¢ $2 3h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 60¢ $4 4h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 39¢ $4 4h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) SELL T1 75¢ $7 4h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY T1 50¢ $5 4h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $5 5h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 74¢ $7 7h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 32¢ $3 8h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $6 8h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 10¢ $1 8h
Australia leading at halftime? BUY No 83¢ $8 8h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 49¢ $5 10h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 47¢ $5 10h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 69¢ $7 11h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Kansas City Royals 57¢ $6 12h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 54¢ $5 12h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY No 76¢ $8 14h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 36¢ $4 14h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves 79¢ $8 14h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Cleveland Guardians 70¢ $7 14h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 45¢ $5 14h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 91¢ $9 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 449 -50.4% -55.1% 29% 25% -49.2%
≤30d 846 -1.9% -11.2% 57% 49% -9.4%
≤90d 1629 -1.1% -10.5% 56% 48% -9.9%
all 1629 -1.1% -10.5% 56% 48% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 48% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 42% -18.5%
15% -26.9% 36% -26.4%
20% -34.0% 28% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $107.53 · official $107.53 (match) · 3500 history records