Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:49:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe8ab…60c1
crypto · 712 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$328 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$328 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$328
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses423 / 289
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)712 / 712
History coverage31d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day63.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 712 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$20
14 days−$23
30 days−$242
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% −$156
other 22% −$169
sports 2% −$3
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 170 -13.1% -21.4% 65% 64% -12.5%
≤30d 682 -13.6% -21.8% 59% 38% -14.4%
≤90d 712 -13.3% -21.6% 59% 36% -14.7%
all 712 -13.3% -21.6% 59% 36% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.6% 36% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -29.1% 20% -22.9%
15% -35.9% 18% -30.3%
20% -42.2% 7% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2511 history records