Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:56:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe8dd…30d5
crypto · 34 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses19 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage1d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day41.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $20 $25 +$5 (+26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$20 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$17 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$13 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$10 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$16 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$13 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$8 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$8 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$6 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$17 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$16 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$26 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$17 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$13 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $21 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $22 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $21 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $21 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $16 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $28 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $21 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $53 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $21 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $21 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $22 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -2.9% -12.1% 56% 56% -11.0%
≤30d 34 -2.9% -12.1% 56% 56% -11.0%
≤90d 34 -2.9% -12.1% 56% 56% -11.0%
all 34 -2.9% -12.1% 56% 56% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 56% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 56% -19.5%
15% -28.2% 41% -27.3%
20% -35.3% 32% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.24 · official $25.24 (match) · 69 history records