trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 50% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 10% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 4% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 27 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 4% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 25? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $44 | $44 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24? | Jun 24 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $823 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $824 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $826 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $825 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $1,671 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $826 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 02 | $1,659 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 31 | $829 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 28 | $1,734 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $836 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 22 | $836 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $838 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 18 | $839 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $839 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $1,752 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 12 | $839 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $844 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 06 | $263 | −$55 | -21% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $900 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $776 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $910 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 26 | $911 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 22 | $912 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 20 | $913 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 18 | $914 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $906 | −$1 | -0% |