Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:59:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe8e7…9d0f
other · 56 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$24 +31%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized+$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses23 / 21
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions11
Markets (closed)44 / 56
History coverage20d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 11 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$28
14 days+$30
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 31¢ 31¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 73¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 39¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes 22¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-39%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +205%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -61%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 +$10 +982%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 $0 -7%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -7%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 +$5 +510%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +32%
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 11 $1 +$3 +325%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +30%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Togo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 $0 +40%
Exact Score: Peru 1 - 3 Spain? Jun 09 $1 +$9 +873%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 $0 +16%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 $0 +14%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 $0 +26%
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 +$2 +152%
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Jun 08 $1 $0 -3%
Will Kosovo win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 $0 +20%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 $0 +21%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 $0 +27%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $2 +$1 +73%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 +$2 +238%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 $0 -4%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Will England win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$4 -69%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $3 +$2 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 $0 +25%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 75% +$29
crypto 15% −$8
sports 8% +$4
world 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 38m
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 40m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 41m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 41m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 46m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 83¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 43¢ $1 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 10h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 31¢ $1 22h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 31¢ $1 22h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 37¢ $1 23h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 31¢ $1 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 23h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 23h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 23h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 23h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 31¢ $1 24h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 24h
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 73¢ $1 25h
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- BUY 30¢ $1 25h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 39¢ $1 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 36¢ $1 28h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+40.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +76.7% +59.9% 57% 54% +40.5%
≤30d 44 +55.3% +40.5% 52% 50% +26.2%
≤90d 44 +55.3% +40.5% 52% 50% +26.2%
all 44 +55.3% +40.5% 52% 50% +26.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +40.5% 50% +26.2%
10% +27.1% 36% +14.1%
15% +14.8% 25% +3.1%
20% +3.6% 23% -7.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.26 · official $17.26 · 103 history records